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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Michael Bisping won · U-DEC R3

Elo1363

Elo1490

Michael BispingvsYoshihiro AkiyamaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · Saturday, October 16, 2010London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Michael Bisping won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichael Bisping: Elusive strikervsYoshihiro Akiyama: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Michael Bisping wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Michael Bisping wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Bisping at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yoshihiro Akiyama has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Michael Bisping

Red Corner

Yoshihiro Akiyama

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1363

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael BispingL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16

vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16

SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17

KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17

latest

Yoshihiro Akiyama

oldest →

SUBvs Chris Leben · Jul 10

KOvs Vitor Belfort · Aug 11

vs Jake Shields · Feb 12

vs Amir Sadollah · Sep 14

vs Alberto Mina · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael BispingMetricYoshihiro Akiyama

4.33

Strikes / min

3.10

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

3.62

65%

Strike defense

57%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

2.29

63%

Takedown defense

92%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap-0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael BispingYoshihiro Akiyama

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Bisping(10 fights)Yoshihiro Akiyama(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -127.7|Blue +127.7

Recent Form

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael BispingTargetYoshihiro Akiyama

By target zone

38% acc · 75%

Head

22% acc · 70%

73% acc · 9%

Body

78% acc · 14%

90% acc · 15%

Leg

73% acc · 16%

By position

115

44% acc · 97%

Distance

28% acc · 98%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

25% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Bisping rounds

even

Yoshihiro Akiyama rounds

Round 1Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:02

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes60

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

118 / 267

Sig Strikes

50 / 177

42%

Sig Str %

29%

119 / 268

Total Strikes

50 / 177

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yoshihiro Akiyama	14 / 42	14 / 42	0 / 0
1	Michael Bisping	23 / 70	24 / 71	0 / 4
2	Yoshihiro Akiyama	22 / 62	22 / 62	0 / 1
2	Michael Bisping	35 / 86	35 / 86	0 / 1
3	Yoshihiro Akiyama	14 / 73	14 / 73	0 / 0
3	Michael Bisping	60 / 111	60 / 111	0 / 0

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights18

Yoshihiro Akiyama

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6