Middleweight

5 Rounds

Michael Bisping won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1363

Elo1351

Michael BispingvsJason MillerUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Michael Bisping won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:34

Style matchupMichael Bisping: Elusive strikervsJason Miller: Submission grappler

The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.

Model Prediction: Michael Bisping wins(77.2%)

Actual result: Michael Bisping wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Bisping at -192 American odds

+$52 profit

$152 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Michael Bisping has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Michael Bisping has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Michael Bisping

Red Corner

Jason Miller

Blue Corner

-192

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+177

(36%)

1363

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael BispingL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16

vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16

SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17

KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17

latest

Jason Miller

oldest →

vs CB Dollaway · May 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael BispingMetricJason Miller

4.33

Strikes / min

1.83

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.30

65%

Strike defense

49%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.31

63%

Takedown defense

43%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael BispingJason Miller

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Bisping(10 fights)Jason Miller(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +11.3|Blue -11.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -47.4|Blue +47.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael BispingTargetJason Miller

By target zone

49% acc · 84%

Head

16% acc · 63%

86% acc · 12%

Body

73% acc · 30%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

47% acc · 64%

Distance

19% acc · 74%

65% acc · 11%

Clinch

36% acc · 15%

68% acc · 25%

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Bisping rounds

even

Jason Miller rounds

Round 1Jason Miller edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:37

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:02Control

Round 2Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns0

Control0:50

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control1:45

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

102 / 192

Sig Strikes

27 / 119

49%

Sig Str %

21.3%

150 / 244

Total Strikes

38 / 131

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 11

—

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:12

Ctrl Time

2:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jason Miller	17 / 47	28 / 59	1 / 2
1	Michael Bisping	11 / 35	17 / 42	0 / 0
2	Jason Miller	6 / 48	6 / 48	0 / 7
2	Michael Bisping	51 / 91	64 / 104	0 / 0
3	Jason Miller	4 / 24	4 / 24	0 / 2
3	Michael Bisping	40 / 66	69 / 98	0 / 0

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights18

Jason Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach—

Fights2