← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Georges St-Pierre won · SUB R3

Elo1363

Elo1491

Michael BispingvsGeorges St-PierreUFC Prediction Result

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · Saturday, November 4, 2017New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Georges St-Pierre won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:23

Style matchupMichael Bisping: Elusive strikervsGeorges St-Pierre: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Georges St-Pierre wins(87.3%)

Actual result: Georges St-Pierre wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Georges St-Pierre at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Georges St-Pierre enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Georges St-Pierre has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Michael Bisping

Red Corner

Georges St-Pierre

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1363

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael Bisping

oldest →

vs Thales Leites · Jul 15

vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16

vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16

KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17

latest

Georges St-PierreW5 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Koscheck · Dec 10

vs Jake Shields · Apr 11

vs Carlos Condit · Nov 12

vs Nick Diaz · Mar 13

vs Johny Hendricks · Nov 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael BispingMetricGeorges St-Pierre

4.33

Strikes / min

3.78

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

1.40

65%

Strike defense

72%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

4.16

63%

Takedown defense

83%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62evenly matched on net striking+2.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael BispingGeorges St-Pierre

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Bisping(10 fights)Georges St-Pierre(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -128.1|Blue +128.1

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red -1057.0|Blue +1057.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael BispingTargetGeorges St-Pierre

By target zone

22% acc · 74%

Head

45% acc · 69%

17% acc · 4%

Body

42% acc · 8%

75% acc · 22%

Leg

87% acc · 22%

By position

24% acc · 93%

Distance

42% acc · 66%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

73% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Bisping rounds

even

Georges St-Pierre rounds

Round 1Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:21Control

Round 2Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

27Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:27Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 106

Sig Strikes

59 / 119

28.7%

Sig Str %

48.7%

49 / 128

Total Strikes

68 / 131

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 4

—

TD %

83.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

3:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Georges St-Pierre	15 / 35	15 / 35	1 / 2	0
1	Michael Bisping	7 / 34	8 / 35	0 / 0	0
2	Georges St-Pierre	17 / 42	17 / 42	1 / 1	0
2	Michael Bisping	12 / 54	17 / 59	0 / 0	0
3	Georges St-Pierre	27 / 42	36 / 54	1 / 1	1
3	Michael Bisping	8 / 18	24 / 34	0 / 0	0

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights18

Georges St-Pierre

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7