Middleweight

3 Rounds

Michael Bisping won · U-DEC R3

Elo1363

Elo1355

Michael BispingvsDan MillerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · Saturday, May 29, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Michael Bisping won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichael Bisping: Elusive strikervsDan Miller: Submission grappler

The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.

Model Prediction: Michael Bisping wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Michael Bisping wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Bisping at -195 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Miller threatens submissions; Michael Bisping has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Michael Bisping has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Michael Bisping has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Michael Bisping

Red Corner

Dan Miller

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1363

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael BispingL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16

vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16

SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17

KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17

latest

Dan MillerL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nate Marquardt · Mar 11

vs Rousimar Palhares · Aug 11

SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 12

KOvs Jordan Mein · Mar 13

vs Trevor Smith · Jul 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael BispingMetricDan Miller

4.33

Strikes / min

2.03

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

3.06

65%

Strike defense

49%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.67

63%

Takedown defense

47%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap-1.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael BispingDan Miller

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Bisping(10 fights)Dan Miller(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.8|Blue -7.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael BispingTargetDan Miller

By target zone

33% acc · 99%

Head

14% acc · 42%

Body

31% acc · 22%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

78% acc · 36%

By position

33% acc · 99%

Distance

24% acc · 98%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Bisping rounds

even

Dan Miller rounds

Round 1Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

76 / 225

Sig Strikes

50 / 211

33.3%

Sig Str %

23.3%

77 / 226

Total Strikes

56 / 217

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

16.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dan Miller	18 / 69	18 / 69	0 / 0
1	Michael Bisping	28 / 85	28 / 85	0 / 0
2	Dan Miller	19 / 72	19 / 72	0 / 1
2	Michael Bisping	24 / 74	24 / 74	0 / 0
3	Dan Miller	13 / 70	19 / 76	1 / 3
3	Michael Bisping	24 / 66	25 / 67	0 / 0

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights18

Dan Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights8