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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Michael Bisping won · KO/TKO R4
Elo1363
Elo1490
Cung Le

Michael BispingvsCung LeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Michael Bisping won

KO/TKO · Round 4 · 0:57

Style matchupMichael Bisping: Elusive strikervsCung Le: Elusive striker

Two technical strikers — likely goes the distance with a close decision.

Model Prediction: Michael Bisping wins(61.7%)

Actual result: Michael Bisping wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Bisping at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cung Le has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cung Le (53.5%).
  • Michael Bisping has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Michael Bisping
Red Corner
VS
Cung Le
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
1363
Elo
1490
47
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael BispingL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16
W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16
W
vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16
L
SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17
L
KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17
latest
Cung LeW2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Nov 11
W
vs Patrick Cote · Jul 12
W
KOvs Rich Franklin · Nov 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael BispingMetricCung Le
4.33
Strikes / min
4.36
2.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
65%
Strike defense
66%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
1.37
63%
Takedown defense
88%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62evenly matched on net striking+1.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1542 vs 1518Strikes49.4 vs 31.7Takedowns1.3 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.00Form-0.4 vs 0.6
Michael BispingCung Le

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Michael Bisping(10 fights)Cung Le(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -127.5|Blue +127.5
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -522.0|Blue +522.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael BispingTargetCung Le

By target zone

68
29% acc · 74%
Head
9
13% acc · 24%
16
67% acc · 17%
Body
19
58% acc · 50%
8
80% acc · 9%
Leg
10
100% acc · 26%

By position

88
33% acc · 96%
Distance
38
35% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
2
67% acc · 2%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

4
Michael Bisping rounds
0
even
0
Cung Le rounds
Round 1Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
92 / 270
Sig Strikes
38 / 110
38.8%
Sig Str %
31%
92 / 270
Total Strikes
38 / 110
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cung Le11 / 3311 / 330 / 00
1Michael Bisping18 / 6418 / 640 / 00
2Michael Bisping21 / 8321 / 830 / 00
2Cung Le11 / 3311 / 330 / 00
3Cung Le15 / 3915 / 390 / 00
3Michael Bisping35 / 9635 / 960 / 00
4Cung Le1 / 51 / 50 / 00
4Michael Bisping18 / 2718 / 270 / 00

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18

Cung Le

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4