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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Michael Bisping won · U-DEC R3

Elo1363

Elo1352

Michael BispingvsBrian StannUFC Prediction Result

UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · Saturday, September 22, 2012Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Michael Bisping won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichael Bisping: Elusive strikervsBrian Stann: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Michael Bisping wins(57.8%)

Actual result: Michael Bisping wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Bisping at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Michael Bisping

Red Corner

Brian Stann

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1363

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael BispingL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16

vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16

SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17

KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17

latest

Brian Stann

oldest →

KOvs Chris Leben · Jan 11

KOvs Jorge Santiago · May 11

SUBvs Chael Sonnen · Oct 11

KOvs Alessio Sakara · Apr 12

KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Mar 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael BispingMetricBrian Stann

4.33

Strikes / min

3.28

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.65

65%

Strike defense

59%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

0.12

63%

Takedown defense

60%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62evenly matched on net striking+0.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael BispingBrian Stann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Bisping(10 fights)Brian Stann(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.8|Blue -10.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael BispingTargetBrian Stann

By target zone

39% acc · 72%

Head

26% acc · 47%

70% acc · 11%

Body

59% acc · 18%

92% acc · 17%

Leg

91% acc · 35%

By position

43% acc · 78%

Distance

37% acc · 81%

62% acc · 20%

Clinch

64% acc · 16%

20% acc · 2%

Ground

67% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Bisping rounds

even

Brian Stann rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:09

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns2

Control1:59

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Round 3Michael Bisping edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns2

Control1:23

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 141

Sig Strikes

57 / 141

44%

Sig Str %

38.7%

88 / 168

Total Strikes

72 / 158

4 / 13

TDs

0 / 0

27.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:31

Ctrl Time

1:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Brian Stann	22 / 53	26 / 57	0 / 0
1	Michael Bisping	20 / 49	26 / 55	0 / 3
2	Brian Stann	9 / 28	18 / 39	0 / 0
2	Michael Bisping	15 / 37	28 / 53	2 / 4
3	Brian Stann	26 / 60	28 / 62	0 / 0
3	Michael Bisping	29 / 55	34 / 60	2 / 6

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights18

Brian Stann

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7