Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (52.9%).
- Sean O'Malley has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 24W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25 Sean O'MalleyW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24W
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricSean O'Malley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap+2.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Merab DvalishviliSean O'Malley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Sean O'Malley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +9.5|Blue -9.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Merab DvalishviliTargetSean O'Malley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Merab Dvalishvili rounds
Round 1Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control1:54
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:17
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns3
Control4:18
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
