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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Merab Dvalishvili won · U-DEC

Elo1542

Elo1488

Merab DvalishvilivsCody StamannUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · Saturday, May 1, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Merab Dvalishvili won

U-DEC

Style matchupMerab Dvalishvili: WrestlervsCody Stamann: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili wins(80.2%)

Actual result: Merab Dvalishvili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Merab Dvalishvili at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Merab Dvalishvili has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Merab Dvalishvili

Red Corner

Cody Stamann

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1542

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Merab Dvalishvili

oldest →

vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25

SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25

vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25

vs Petr Yan · Dec 25

latest

Cody StamannL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22

vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23

vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Merab DvalishviliMetricCody Stamann

4.42

Strikes / min

4.32

2.80

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

54%

Strike defense

60%

5.97

TDs / 15 min

2.17

76%

Takedown defense

76%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Merab DvalishviliCody Stamann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Cody Stamann(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +54.3|Blue -54.3

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -31.0|Blue +31.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Merab DvalishviliTargetCody Stamann

By target zone

31% acc · 69%

Head

26% acc · 56%

64% acc · 23%

Body

67% acc · 42%

67% acc · 8%

Leg

50% acc · 2%

By position

35% acc · 90%

Distance

33% acc · 85%

67% acc · 6%

Clinch

86% acc · 13%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Merab Dvalishvili rounds

even

Cody Stamann rounds

Round 1Merab Dvalishvili edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control0:33

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 2Merab Dvalishvili edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns4

Control1:09

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:07Control

Round 3Merab Dvalishvili edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

71 / 192

Sig Strikes

48 / 134

36.7%

Sig Str %

34.7%

178 / 306

Total Strikes

73 / 163

5 / 11

TDs

1 / 4

41.7%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:42

Ctrl Time

2:57

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Stamann	21 / 51	22 / 52	0 / 3	0
1	Merab Dvalishvili	26 / 68	34 / 78	1 / 4	0
2	Cody Stamann	10 / 36	19 / 48	1 / 1	0
2	Merab Dvalishvili	21 / 54	74 / 109	4 / 4	1
3	Cody Stamann	17 / 47	32 / 63	0 / 0	0
3	Merab Dvalishvili	24 / 70	70 / 119	0 / 3	0

Merab Dvalishvili

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights17

Cody Stamann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights14