← All fights/Event page

Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Nora Cornolle won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1468

Elo1489

Melissa MullinsvsNora CornolleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Saturday, April 6, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nora Cornolle won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:06

Model Prediction: Nora Cornolle wins(57.4%)

Actual result: Nora Cornolle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nora Cornolle at +285 American odds

+$285 profit

$385 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Melissa Mullins has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Melissa Mullins

Red Corner

Nora Cornolle

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+285

(26%)

1468

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Melissa MullinsL2 streak

oldest →

vs Irina Alekseeva · Oct 23

KOvs Klaudia Sygula · Nov 24

vs Daria Zhelezniakova · Jun 25

SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Jun 26

latest

Nora CornolleL2 streak

oldest →

vs Joselyne Edwards · Sep 23

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Sep 24

SUBvs Hailey Cowan · Apr 25

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 25

SUBvs Joselyne Edwards · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Melissa MullinsMetricNora Cornolle

3.71

Strikes / min

2.73

4.39

Strikes absorbed / min

2.04

52%

Strike defense

56%

2.03

TDs / 15 min

0.22

85%

Takedown defense

47%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.68Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Melissa MullinsNora Cornolle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Melissa Mullins(5 fights)Nora Cornolle(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -21.3|Blue +21.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Melissa MullinsTargetNora Cornolle

By target zone

43% acc · 82%

Head

61% acc · 47%

67% acc · 18%

Body

76% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

43% acc · 82%

Distance

66% acc · 53%

67% acc · 18%

Clinch

75% acc · 42%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Melissa Mullins rounds

even

Nora Cornolle rounds

Round 1Nora Cornolle edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control3:22

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 2Nora Cornolle edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control1:58

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 24

Sig Strikes

36 / 51

49%

Sig Str %

70%

13 / 28

Total Strikes

60 / 83

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

16.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:20

Ctrl Time

0:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nora Cornolle	19 / 28	30 / 45	0 / 0
1	Melissa Mullins	7 / 17	8 / 20	1 / 3
2	Nora Cornolle	17 / 23	30 / 38	0 / 0
2	Melissa Mullins	4 / 7	5 / 8	0 / 1

Melissa Mullins

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Nora Cornolle

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6