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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Melissa Mullins won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1468

Elo1522

Melissa MullinsvsKlaudia SygulaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Saturday, November 9, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Melissa Mullins won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:20

Style matchupMelissa Mullins: WrestlervsKlaudia Sygula: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Melissa Mullins wins(64.9%)

Actual result: Melissa Mullins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Melissa Mullins has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Melissa Mullins

Red Corner

Klaudia Sygula

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1468

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Melissa MullinsL3 streak

oldest →

vs Irina Alekseeva · Oct 23

KOvs Nora Cornolle · Apr 24

vs Daria Zhelezniakova · Jun 25

SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Jun 26

latest

Klaudia SygulaW2 streak

oldest →

vs Irina Alekseeva · Jun 25

vs Priscila Cachoeira · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Melissa MullinsMetricKlaudia Sygula

3.71

Strikes / min

7.27

4.39

Strikes absorbed / min

5.50

52%

Strike defense

56%

2.03

TDs / 15 min

0.41

85%

Takedown defense

40%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.68Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap+1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Melissa MullinsKlaudia Sygula

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Melissa Mullins(5 fights)Klaudia Sygula(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -54.3|Blue +54.3

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Melissa MullinsTargetKlaudia Sygula

By target zone

62% acc · 95%

Head

22% acc · 42%

100% acc · 3%

Body

50% acc · 8%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

86% acc · 50%

By position

45% acc · 24%

Distance

38% acc · 100%

Clinch

73% acc · 76%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Melissa Mullins rounds

even

Klaudia Sygula rounds

Round 1Melissa Mullins edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control1:42

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:04Control

Round 2Melissa Mullins edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control1:04

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 60

Sig Strikes

12 / 32

61%

Sig Str %

34.5%

54 / 85

Total Strikes

22 / 42

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 3

75%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:46

Ctrl Time

1:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Klaudia Sygula	9 / 21	19 / 31	0 / 3
1	Melissa Mullins	12 / 25	17 / 32	1 / 2
2	Klaudia Sygula	3 / 11	3 / 11	0 / 0
2	Melissa Mullins	26 / 35	37 / 53	1 / 1

Melissa Mullins

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Klaudia Sygula

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3