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Women's Featherweight
3 Rounds
Megan Anderson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1493
Elo1516
Norma Dumont

Megan AndersonvsNorma DumontUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, February 29, 2020Norfolk, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Megan Anderson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:31

Model Prediction: Megan Anderson wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Megan Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Megan Anderson at -245 American odds

+$41 profit

$141 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Norma Dumont has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Norma Dumont has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Megan Anderson has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Megan Anderson
Red Corner
VS
Norma Dumont
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
1493
Elo
1516
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Megan Anderson
oldest →
L
vs Holly Holm · Jun 18
W
KOvs Cat Zingano · Dec 18
L
SUBvs Felicia Spencer · May 19
W
SUBvs Zarah Fairn · Oct 19
L
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Mar 21
latest
Norma Dumont
oldest →
W
vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23
W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24
W
vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24
W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25
L
DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Megan AndersonMetricNorma Dumont
1.76
Strikes / min
3.85
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.33
37%
Strike defense
64%
0.52
TDs / 15 min
1.43
53%
Takedown defense
71%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.59Δ 3.11 — meaningful gap+1.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1500Strikes1.8 vs 0.0Takedowns0.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 0.0
Megan AndersonNorma Dumont

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Megan Anderson(6 fights)Norma Dumont(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -23.0|Blue +23.0
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Megan AndersonTargetNorma Dumont

By target zone

6
50% acc · 86%
Head
1
11% acc · 20%
1
50% acc · 14%
Body
4
80% acc · 80%
0
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

5
45% acc · 71%
Distance
1
9% acc · 20%
2
100% acc · 29%
Clinch
4
80% acc · 80%
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Megan Anderson rounds
0
even
0
Norma Dumont rounds
Round 1Megan Anderson edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:14
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:20Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
7 / 14
Sig Strikes
5 / 16
50%
Sig Str %
31%
32 / 39
Total Strikes
14 / 25
0 / 1
TDs
1 / 3
0%
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:14
Ctrl Time
2:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Norma Dumont5 / 1614 / 251 / 30
1Megan Anderson7 / 1432 / 390 / 10

Megan Anderson

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12