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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Mayra Bueno Silva won · SUB R1

Elo1453

Elo1490

Mayra Bueno SilvavsStephanie EggerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · Saturday, August 6, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mayra Bueno Silva won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:17

Style matchupMayra Bueno Silva: Well-roundedvsStephanie Egger: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mayra Bueno Silva wins(63.3%)

Actual result: Mayra Bueno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mayra Bueno Silva at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Mayra Bueno Silva threatens submissions; Stephanie Egger has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Mayra Bueno Silva

Red Corner

Stephanie Egger

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1453

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mayra Bueno SilvaL5 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Stephanie EggerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shanna Young · Oct 21

SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Feb 22

SUBvs Ailin Perez · Sep 22

SUBvs Irina Alekseeva · Apr 23

vs Luana Santos · Dec 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mayra Bueno SilvaMetricStephanie Egger

3.52

Strikes / min

2.20

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.48

51%

Strike defense

52%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

2.48

64%

Takedown defense

50%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.19evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mayra Bueno SilvaStephanie Egger

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)Stephanie Egger(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -37.0|Blue +37.0

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mayra Bueno SilvaTargetStephanie Egger

By target zone

100% acc · 25%

Head

55% acc · 75%

Body

100% acc · 75%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

100% acc · 100%

Distance

29% acc · 25%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 75%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

even

Stephanie Egger rounds

Round 1Stephanie Egger edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 4

Sig Strikes

8 / 13

100%

Sig Str %

61%

4 / 4

Total Strikes

12 / 17

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Stephanie Egger	8 / 13	12 / 17	1 / 1	0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	4 / 4	4 / 4	0 / 0	1

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12

Stephanie Egger

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7