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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Michelle Montague won · Decision R3
Elo1453
Elo1533

Mayra Bueno SilvavsMichelle MontagueUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Michelle Montague won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMayra Bueno Silva: Well-roundedvsMichelle Montague: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Michelle Montague wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Michelle Montague wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Mayra Bueno Silva has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Mayra Bueno Silva has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mayra Bueno Silva
Red Corner
VS
Michelle Montague
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1453
Elo
1533
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'9"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mayra Bueno SilvaL4 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Lina Lansberg · Feb 23
L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24
L
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24
L
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25
L
vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25
latest
Michelle Montague
oldest →
W
vs Luana Carolina · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mayra Bueno SilvaMetricMichelle Montague
3.52
Strikes / min
2.77
4.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.47
51%
Strike defense
41%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
3.50
64%
Takedown defense
0%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.19Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.30
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401468149515231550← oldermost recent →
Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)Michelle Montague(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -80.3|Blue +80.3
Recent Form
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights12

Michelle Montague

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights2