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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Maryna Moroz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1453

Elo1493

Mayra Bueno SilvavsMaryna MorozUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Saturday, March 14, 2020Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Maryna Moroz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMayra Bueno Silva: Well-roundedvsMaryna Moroz: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Mayra Bueno Silva wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Maryna Moroz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mayra Bueno Silva at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mayra Bueno Silva has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mayra Bueno Silva

Red Corner

Maryna Moroz

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1453

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mayra Bueno SilvaL5 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Maryna MorozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Sabina Mazo · Mar 19

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Mar 22

vs Jennifer Maia · Nov 22

SUBvs Karine Silva · Aug 23

vs Joanne Wood · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mayra Bueno SilvaMetricMaryna Moroz

3.52

Strikes / min

4.42

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

4.89

51%

Strike defense

51%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

0.70

64%

Takedown defense

42%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.19evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mayra Bueno SilvaMaryna Moroz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)Maryna Moroz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.9|Blue +39.9

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +189.0|Blue -189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mayra Bueno SilvaTargetMaryna Moroz

By target zone

49% acc · 51%

Head

47% acc · 54%

91% acc · 23%

Body

69% acc · 35%

72% acc · 26%

Leg

94% acc · 11%

By position

56% acc · 83%

Distance

111

55% acc · 80%

94% acc · 17%

Clinch

56% acc · 7%

Ground

69% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

even

Maryna Moroz rounds

Round 1Maryna Moroz edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

45Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:44Control

Round 2Maryna Moroz edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:42

38Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:32Control

Round 3Maryna Moroz edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:04

56Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

88 / 146

Sig Strikes

139 / 247

60%

Sig Str %

56.3%

92 / 150

Total Strikes

176 / 298

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 8

—

TD %

27.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:46

Ctrl Time

4:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Maryna Moroz	45 / 84	62 / 108	1 / 2
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	25 / 39	28 / 42	0 / 0
2	Maryna Moroz	38 / 62	56 / 85	1 / 3
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	20 / 34	21 / 35	0 / 0
3	Maryna Moroz	56 / 101	58 / 105	0 / 3
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	43 / 73	43 / 73	0 / 0

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12

Maryna Moroz

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11