Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Macy Chiasson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1453

Elo1474

Mayra Bueno SilvavsMacy ChiassonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Saturday, June 29, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Macy Chiasson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:58

Style matchupMayra Bueno Silva: Well-roundedvsMacy Chiasson: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(63.0%)

Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Macy Chiasson at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Macy Chiasson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mayra Bueno Silva

Red Corner

Macy Chiasson

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1453

Elo

1474

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'11"

167.64 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mayra Bueno SilvaL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Lina Lansberg · Feb 23

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Macy ChiassonL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Irene Aldana · Sep 22

SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25

vs Yana Santos · Oct 25

vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mayra Bueno SilvaMetricMacy Chiasson

3.52

Strikes / min

3.21

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.76

51%

Strike defense

44%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

1.87

64%

Takedown defense

62%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.19Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mayra Bueno SilvaMacy Chiasson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mayra Bueno SilvaTargetMacy Chiasson

By target zone

71% acc · 52%

Head

46% acc · 54%

91% acc · 43%

Body

81% acc · 26%

67% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 20%

By position

66% acc · 46%

Distance

42% acc · 44%

92% acc · 50%

Clinch

78% acc · 36%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

even

Macy Chiasson rounds

Round 1Mayra Bueno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:58

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:21

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:20Control

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 59

Sig Strikes

50 / 85

68.5%

Sig Str %

57.5%

53 / 66

Total Strikes

64 / 99

0 / 4

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

1:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Macy Chiasson	37 / 62	50 / 75	0 / 0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	42 / 52	47 / 57	0 / 4
2	Macy Chiasson	13 / 23	14 / 24	1 / 1
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	4 / 7	6 / 9	0 / 0

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14