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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jacqueline Cavalcanti won · U-DEC R3

Elo1453

Elo1538

Mayra Bueno SilvavsJacqueline CavalcantiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Saturday, November 8, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jacqueline Cavalcanti won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMayra Bueno Silva: Well-roundedvsJacqueline Cavalcanti: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins(84.1%)

Actual result: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacqueline Cavalcanti at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mayra Bueno Silva

Red Corner

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Blue Corner

+184

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1453

Elo

1538

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mayra Bueno SilvaL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Lina Lansberg · Feb 23

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

oldest →

vs Zarah Fairn · Sep 23

vs Josiane Nunes · Aug 24

vs Nora Cornolle · Sep 24

vs Julia Avila · Feb 25

DECvs Ketlen Vieira · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mayra Bueno SilvaMetricJacqueline Cavalcanti

3.52

Strikes / min

5.65

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

51%

Strike defense

68%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

0.00

64%

Takedown defense

88%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.19Δ 3.67 — meaningful gap+2.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mayra Bueno SilvaJacqueline Cavalcanti

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)Jacqueline Cavalcanti(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -84.5|Blue +84.5

Recent Form

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mayra Bueno SilvaTargetJacqueline Cavalcanti

By target zone

24% acc · 38%

Head

38% acc · 56%

57% acc · 21%

Body

77% acc · 25%

76% acc · 41%

Leg

75% acc · 19%

By position

39% acc · 92%

Distance

47% acc · 91%

75% acc · 8%

Clinch

88% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

even

Jacqueline Cavalcanti rounds

Round 1Jacqueline Cavalcanti edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:57

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Jacqueline Cavalcanti edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:54Control

Round 3Jacqueline Cavalcanti edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:15

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 97

Sig Strikes

80 / 164

40.3%

Sig Str %

48.3%

46 / 107

Total Strikes

87 / 172

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:12

Ctrl Time

0:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	21 / 40	21 / 40	0 / 0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	9 / 24	11 / 26	0 / 1
2	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	23 / 57	28 / 63	0 / 0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	16 / 31	21 / 39	0 / 0
3	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	36 / 67	38 / 69	0 / 0
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	14 / 42	14 / 42	0 / 3

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5