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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Maycee Barber won · U-DEC R3
Elo1514
Maycee Barber
Elo1499

Maycee BarbervsMontana De La RosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Saturday, April 23, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Maycee Barber won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMaycee Barber: Elusive strikervsMontana De La Rosa: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Maycee Barber wins(59.6%)

Actual result: Maycee Barber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maycee Barber at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Maycee Barber has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Montana De La Rosa has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Maycee Barber
Red Corner
VS
Montana De La Rosa
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1514
Elo
1499
28
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maycee Barber
oldest →
W
vs Andrea Lee · Mar 23
W
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 23
W
vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24
W
vs Karine Silva · Dec 25
L
KOvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 26
latest
Montana De La Rosa
oldest →
L
vs Viviane Araujo · Sep 20
W
KOvs Ariane Lipski · Jun 21
L
SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 23
L
vs JJ Aldrich · Oct 23
W
vs Andrea Lee · Jun 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maycee BarberMetricMontana De La Rosa
4.56
Strikes / min
2.90
2.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.39
55%
Strike defense
45%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
1.85
51%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.78Δ 2.27 — meaningful gap-0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1529 vs 1542Strikes4.7 vs 2.9Takedowns1.4 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.80Form0.2 vs 0.4
Maycee BarberMontana De La Rosa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Maycee Barber(10 fights)Montana De La Rosa(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +14.6|Blue -14.6
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maycee BarberTargetMontana De La Rosa

By target zone

31
74% acc · 62%
Head
7
37% acc · 50%
16
89% acc · 32%
Body
7
78% acc · 50%
3
100% acc · 6%
Leg
0

By position

4
50% acc · 8%
Distance
3
23% acc · 21%
40
85% acc · 80%
Clinch
10
71% acc · 71%
6
75% acc · 12%
Ground
1
100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Maycee Barber rounds
1
even
0
Montana De La Rosa rounds
Round 1Maycee Barber edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control2:25
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:51Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control2:06
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:22Control
Round 3Maycee Barber edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control2:29
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
50 / 63
Sig Strikes
14 / 28
78.3%
Sig Str %
46.3%
80 / 101
Total Strikes
41 / 57
1 / 4
TDs
1 / 2
50%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
1
7:00
Ctrl Time
5:55

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Montana De La Rosa3 / 1016 / 240 / 10
1Maycee Barber25 / 3134 / 430 / 30
2Montana De La Rosa2 / 54 / 81 / 10
2Maycee Barber7 / 914 / 190 / 00
3Montana De La Rosa9 / 1321 / 250 / 00
3Maycee Barber18 / 2332 / 391 / 10

Maycee Barber

StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13

Montana De La Rosa

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11