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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Maycee Barber won · U-DEC R3

Elo1514

Elo1495

Maycee BarbervsKarine SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Saturday, December 6, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Maycee Barber won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMaycee Barber: Elusive strikervsKarine Silva: Submission grappler

The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.

Model Prediction: Maycee Barber wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Maycee Barber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maycee Barber at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Maycee Barber has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Maycee Barber

Red Corner

Karine Silva

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+184

(35%)

1514

Elo

1495

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maycee Barber

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Jul 22

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 23

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 23

vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24

KOvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 26

latest

Karine Silva

oldest →

SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Aug 23

vs Ariane da Silva · Apr 24

vs Viviane Araujo · Nov 24

vs Dione Barbosa · Aug 25

DECvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maycee BarberMetricKarine Silva

4.56

Strikes / min

2.24

2.78

Strikes absorbed / min

2.74

55%

Strike defense

52%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

1.93

51%

Takedown defense

26%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.78Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap-0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Maycee BarberKarine Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maycee Barber(10 fights)Karine Silva(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.2|Blue -18.2

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Layoff

Red +525.0|Blue -525.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maycee BarberTargetKarine Silva

By target zone

62% acc · 75%

Head

27% acc · 38%

57% acc · 7%

Body

80% acc · 19%

83% acc · 18%

Leg

90% acc · 43%

By position

58% acc · 55%

Distance

50% acc · 76%

0% acc

Clinch

25% acc · 5%

78% acc · 45%

Ground

44% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maycee Barber rounds

even

Karine Silva rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:21

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:49Control

Round 2Maycee Barber edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control3:57

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 3Maycee Barber edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control2:02

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:28Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 85

Sig Strikes

21 / 45

65.7%

Sig Str %

43.3%

89 / 130

Total Strikes

57 / 87

3 / 5

TDs

2 / 3

58%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

6:20

Ctrl Time

3:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Karine Silva	8 / 18	14 / 25	1 / 1
1	Maycee Barber	15 / 31	20 / 37	0 / 0
2	Karine Silva	11 / 16	27 / 33	0 / 0
2	Maycee Barber	21 / 25	32 / 39	2 / 3
3	Karine Silva	2 / 11	16 / 29	1 / 2
3	Maycee Barber	19 / 29	37 / 54	1 / 2

Maycee Barber

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

Karine Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights7