← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Maycee Barber won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1514

Elo1522

Maycee BarbervsJJ AldrichUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Saturday, March 23, 2019Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Maycee Barber won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:01

Style matchupMaycee Barber: Elusive strikervsJJ Aldrich: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Maycee Barber wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Maycee Barber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maycee Barber at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

JJ Aldrich has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Maycee Barber

Red Corner

JJ Aldrich

Blue Corner

-275

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1514

Elo

1522

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maycee Barber

oldest →

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 23

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 23

vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24

vs Karine Silva · Dec 25

KOvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 26

latest

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maycee BarberMetricJJ Aldrich

4.56

Strikes / min

3.92

2.78

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

55%

Strike defense

61%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

0.70

51%

Takedown defense

67%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.78Δ 2.20 — meaningful gap-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Maycee BarberJJ Aldrich

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maycee Barber(10 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.2|Blue +8.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maycee BarberTargetJJ Aldrich

By target zone

41% acc · 62%

Head

28% acc · 92%

75% acc · 11%

Body

50% acc · 4%

79% acc · 27%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

45% acc · 71%

Distance

26% acc · 76%

70% acc · 29%

Clinch

56% acc · 20%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maycee Barber rounds

even

JJ Aldrich rounds

Round 1Maycee Barber edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 2Maycee Barber edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:02

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 110

Sig Strikes

25 / 85

50%

Sig Str %

28%

59 / 115

Total Strikes

28 / 88

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	JJ Aldrich	17 / 55	18 / 56	0 / 0
1	Maycee Barber	23 / 56	26 / 60	0 / 0
2	JJ Aldrich	8 / 30	10 / 32	0 / 0
2	Maycee Barber	32 / 54	33 / 55	0 / 0

Maycee Barber

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16