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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Maximo Blanco won · U-DEC R3

Elo1358

Elo1484

Maximo BlancovsDan HookerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Saturday, September 20, 2014Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Maximo Blanco won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMaximo Blanco: Well-roundedvsDan Hooker: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Maximo Blanco wins(59.7%)

Actual result: Maximo Blanco wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maximo Blanco at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Maximo Blanco has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
Dan Hooker has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Maximo Blanco

Red Corner

Dan Hooker

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1358

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maximo BlancoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Felipe Arantes · Feb 14

vs Andy Ogle · May 14

KOvs Mike de la Torre · Jul 15

SUBvs Luke Sanders · Jan 16

SUBvs Chas Skelly · Sep 16

latest

Dan HookerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22

vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24

SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maximo BlancoMetricDan Hooker

4.11

Strikes / min

4.82

3.19

Strikes absorbed / min

4.94

66%

Strike defense

49%

1.85

TDs / 15 min

0.68

63%

Takedown defense

77%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.92Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Maximo BlancoDan Hooker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maximo Blanco(9 fights)Dan Hooker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -126.1|Blue +126.1

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maximo BlancoTargetDan Hooker

By target zone

128

55% acc · 97%

Head

37% acc · 76%

50% acc · 3%

Body

70% acc · 19%

Leg

63% acc · 5%

By position

109

55% acc · 83%

Distance

38% acc · 67%

54% acc · 17%

Clinch

53% acc · 33%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maximo Blanco rounds

even

Dan Hooker rounds

Round 1Maximo Blanco edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns2

Control2:01

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 2Maximo Blanco edged it

Sig. strikes71

Takedowns0

Control0:00

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 3Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control0:33

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

132 / 240

Sig Strikes

99 / 236

55.3%

Sig Str %

41.7%

137 / 246

Total Strikes

116 / 253

3 / 13

TDs

0 / 0

19.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:34

Ctrl Time

1:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dan Hooker	21 / 61	24 / 64	0 / 0
1	Maximo Blanco	33 / 57	33 / 57	2 / 8
2	Dan Hooker	41 / 106	42 / 107	0 / 0
2	Maximo Blanco	71 / 134	72 / 135	0 / 2
3	Dan Hooker	37 / 69	50 / 82	0 / 0
3	Maximo Blanco	28 / 49	32 / 54	1 / 3

Maximo Blanco

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Dan Hooker

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24