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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Max Holloway won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1517

Elo1474

Max HollowayvsChan Sung JungUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, August 26, 2023Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Max Holloway won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:23

Style matchupMax Holloway: Pressure fightervsChan Sung Jung: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Max Holloway wins(72.5%)

Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Max Holloway at -700 American odds

+$14 profit

$114 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Max Holloway is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chan Sung Jung has lost 80% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Max Holloway

Red Corner

Chan Sung Jung

Blue Corner

-700

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+500

(17%)

1517

Elo

1474

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Max Holloway

oldest →

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24

KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24

vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25

vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26

KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 26

latest

Chan Sung Jung

oldest →

KOvs Renato Moicano · Jun 19

KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 19

vs Brian Ortega · Oct 20

vs Dan Ige · Jun 21

KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Max HollowayMetricChan Sung Jung

6.91

Strikes / min

3.93

4.61

Strikes absorbed / min

4.52

58%

Strike defense

52%

0.23

TDs / 15 min

0.70

81%

Takedown defense

72%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.30Δ 2.89 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Max HollowayChan Sung Jung

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Max Holloway(10 fights)Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +43.7|Blue -43.7

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -371.0|Blue +371.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Max HollowayTargetChan Sung Jung

By target zone

44% acc · 45%

Head

23% acc · 74%

89% acc · 41%

Body

75% acc · 18%

63% acc · 13%

Leg

50% acc · 9%

By position

57% acc · 95%

Distance

28% acc · 100%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Max Holloway rounds

even

Chan Sung Jung rounds

Round 1Max Holloway edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Max Holloway edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:54

Knockdowns1

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Max Holloway edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 128

Sig Strikes

34 / 124

54.7%

Sig Str %

25%

75 / 128

Total Strikes

35 / 126

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:57

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chan Sung Jung	15 / 50	15 / 51	0 / 1	0
1	Max Holloway	34 / 55	34 / 55	0 / 0	0
2	Chan Sung Jung	16 / 57	17 / 58	0 / 0	0
2	Max Holloway	36 / 62	36 / 62	0 / 0	1
3	Chan Sung Jung	3 / 17	3 / 17	0 / 0	0
3	Max Holloway	5 / 11	5 / 11	0 / 0	0

Max Holloway

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights33

Chan Sung Jung

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights12