Welterweight

3 Rounds

Max Griffin won · M-DEC R3

Elo1470

Elo1388

Max GriffinvsZelim ImadaevUFC Prediction Result

UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, April 13, 2019Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Max Griffin won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Max Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Max Griffin at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Max Griffin has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Max Griffin

Red Corner

Zelim Imadaev

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1470

Elo

1388

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Max GriffinL3 streak

oldest →

vs Michael Morales · Jul 23

vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24

vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25

DECvs Victor Valenzuela · Apr 26

latest

Zelim ImadaevL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Danny Roberts · Nov 19

SUBvs Michel Pereira · Sep 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Max GriffinMetricZelim Imadaev

3.70

Strikes / min

2.91

3.69

Strikes absorbed / min

4.35

58%

Strike defense

43%

1.44

TDs / 15 min

0.38

69%

Takedown defense

60%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.01Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap-1.44

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Max GriffinZelim Imadaev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Max Griffin(10 fights)Zelim Imadaev(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +82.1|Blue -82.1

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.5|Blue +48.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Max GriffinTargetZelim Imadaev

By target zone

35% acc · 49%

Head

38% acc · 72%

84% acc · 34%

Body

55% acc · 19%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

75% acc · 9%

By position

48% acc · 72%

Distance

37% acc · 73%

61% acc · 23%

Clinch

71% acc · 27%

67% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Max Griffin rounds

even

Zelim Imadaev rounds

Round 1Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns3

Control2:33

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:14Control

Round 2Zelim Imadaev edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control1:27

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:07Control

Round 3Zelim Imadaev edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:59

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:05Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 92

Sig Strikes

64 / 150

54%

Sig Str %

43%

72 / 121

Total Strikes

78 / 165

6 / 11

TDs

0 / 1

69.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:59

Ctrl Time

3:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Zelim Imadaev	12 / 26	22 / 37	0 / 0	0
1	Max Griffin	12 / 17	21 / 28	3 / 4	3
2	Zelim Imadaev	25 / 58	28 / 61	0 / 0	0
2	Max Griffin	14 / 33	24 / 44	2 / 6	0
3	Zelim Imadaev	27 / 66	28 / 67	0 / 1	0
3	Max Griffin	21 / 42	27 / 49	1 / 1	0

Max Griffin

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

Zelim Imadaev

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3