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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Max Griffin won · KO/TKO

Elo1470

Elo1512

Max GriffinvsRamiz BrahimajUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · Saturday, November 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Max Griffin won

KO/TKO

Style matchupMax Griffin: Well-roundedvsRamiz Brahimaj: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(57.1%)

Actual result: Max Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Max Griffin at -143 American odds

+$70 profit

$170 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Max Griffin has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Max Griffin has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Max Griffin has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Max Griffin

Red Corner

Ramiz Brahimaj

Blue Corner

-143

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1470

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Max GriffinL3 streak

oldest →

vs Michael Morales · Jul 23

vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24

vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25

DECvs Victor Valenzuela · Apr 26

latest

Ramiz Brahimaj

oldest →

vs Themba Gorimbo · May 24

KOvs Mickey Gall · Nov 24

SUBvs Billy Ray Goff · May 25

SUBvs Austin Vanderford · Oct 25

vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Max GriffinMetricRamiz Brahimaj

3.70

Strikes / min

2.29

3.69

Strikes absorbed / min

3.27

58%

Strike defense

47%

1.44

TDs / 15 min

1.99

69%

Takedown defense

44%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.01evenly matched on net striking-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Max GriffinRamiz Brahimaj

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Max Griffin(10 fights)Ramiz Brahimaj(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -41.3|Blue +41.3

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -48.5|Blue +48.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Max GriffinTargetRamiz Brahimaj

By target zone

37% acc · 68%

Head

36% acc · 89%

67% acc · 19%

Body

33% acc · 7%

91% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

44% acc · 99%

Distance

37% acc · 100%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Max Griffin rounds

even

Ramiz Brahimaj rounds

Round 1Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control0:02

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:30

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 167

Sig Strikes

45 / 123

42.3%

Sig Str %

36%

82 / 175

Total Strikes

46 / 124

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:32

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ramiz Brahimaj	6 / 30	7 / 31	0 / 0
1	Max Griffin	11 / 44	13 / 46	0 / 1
2	Ramiz Brahimaj	25 / 66	25 / 66	0 / 0
2	Max Griffin	44 / 86	44 / 86	0 / 0
3	Ramiz Brahimaj	14 / 27	14 / 27	0 / 0
3	Max Griffin	19 / 37	25 / 43	0 / 0

Max Griffin

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

Ramiz Brahimaj

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9