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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Mauricio Rua won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1447

Elo1357

Mauricio RuavsJames Te HunaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · Friday, December 6, 2013Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Mauricio Rua won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:03

Style matchupMauricio Rua: WrestlervsJames Te Huna: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(50.7%)

Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mauricio Rua at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
James Te Huna enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
James Te Huna is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Mauricio Rua

Red Corner

James Te Huna

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1447

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mauricio RuaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18

vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20

KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20

vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22

KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23

latest

James Te HunaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Joey Beltran · Jul 12

vs Ryan Jimmo · Feb 13

SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 13

SUBvs Nate Marquardt · Jun 14

KOvs Steve Bosse · Mar 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mauricio RuaMetricJames Te Huna

3.57

Strikes / min

4.04

2.79

Strikes absorbed / min

2.99

54%

Strike defense

62%

2.01

TDs / 15 min

2.75

49%

Takedown defense

58%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78evenly matched on net striking+1.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mauricio RuaJames Te Huna

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mauricio Rua(10 fights)James Te Huna(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +90.9|Blue -90.9

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mauricio RuaTargetJames Te Huna

By target zone

57% acc · 44%

Head

25% acc · 100%

100% acc · 22%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 33%

Leg

By position

73% acc · 89%

Distance

14% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mauricio Rua rounds

even

James Te Huna rounds

Round 1Mauricio Rua edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 12

Sig Strikes

1 / 7

75%

Sig Str %

14%

9 / 12

Total Strikes

1 / 7

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	James Te Huna	1 / 7	1 / 7	0 / 0	0
1	Mauricio Rua	9 / 12	9 / 12	0 / 0	0

Mauricio Rua

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

James Te Huna

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9