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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Maurice Greene won · SUB R1
Elo1400
Elo1491
Michel Batista

Maurice GreenevsMichel BatistaUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Friday, November 30, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Maurice Greene won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:14

Model Prediction: Maurice Greene wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Maurice Greene wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maurice Greene at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Maurice Greene has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Michel Batista (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Maurice Greene
Red Corner
VS
Michel Batista
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1400
Elo
1491
40
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'7"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
204 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maurice GreeneL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Oct 19
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 20
W
SUBvs Gian Villante · Jun 20
L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Oct 20
L
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 21
latest
Michel BatistaNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maurice GreeneMetricMichel Batista
3.28
Strikes / min
0.00
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
45%
Strike defense
40%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
6.72
27%
Takedown defense
0%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 3.70 — meaningful gap-4.03
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Maurice Greene(8 fights)Michel Batista(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maurice GreeneTargetMichel Batista

By target zone

6
55% acc · 67%
Head
0
1
50% acc · 11%
Body
0
2
100% acc · 22%
Leg
0

By position

4
40% acc · 44%
Distance
0
5
100% acc · 56%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Maurice Greene rounds
0
even
0
Michel Batista rounds
Round 1Maurice Greene edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
9 / 15
Sig Strikes
0 / 0
60%
Sig Str %
—
11 / 18
Total Strikes
4 / 10
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 2
—
TD %
50%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
1:12

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michel Batista0 / 04 / 101 / 20
1Maurice Greene9 / 1511 / 180 / 01

Maurice Greene

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8

Michel Batista

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach—
Fights1