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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Maurice Greene won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1400
Elo1374

Maurice GreenevsJunior AlbiniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, June 29, 2019Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA

Official fight result

Maurice Greene won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:38

Model Prediction: Maurice Greene wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Maurice Greene wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maurice Greene at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Junior Albini enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Junior Albini is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Maurice Greene has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Junior Albini has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Maurice Greene has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Maurice Greene
Red Corner
VS
Junior Albini
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1400
Elo
1374
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'7"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maurice GreeneL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Oct 19
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 20
W
SUBvs Gian Villante · Jun 20
L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Oct 20
L
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 21
latest
Junior AlbiniL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Tim Johnson · Jul 17
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Nov 17
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · May 18
L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maurice GreeneMetricJunior Albini
3.28
Strikes / min
3.98
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
6.08
45%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.54
27%
Takedown defense
100%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-2.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1526 vs 1474Strikes4.2 vs 4.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -0.8
Maurice GreeneJunior Albini

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Maurice Greene(8 fights)Junior Albini(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +26.4|Blue -26.4
Recent Form
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maurice GreeneTargetJunior Albini

By target zone

17
30% acc · 46%
Head
10
33% acc · 53%
9
82% acc · 24%
Body
7
64% acc · 37%
11
73% acc · 30%
Leg
2
67% acc · 11%

By position

31
47% acc · 84%
Distance
17
43% acc · 89%
4
40% acc · 11%
Clinch
2
50% acc · 11%
2
29% acc · 5%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Maurice Greene rounds
0
even
0
Junior Albini rounds
Round 1Maurice Greene edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:35
Knockdowns2
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
37 / 83
Sig Strikes
19 / 44
44%
Sig Str %
43%
39 / 85
Total Strikes
22 / 47
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:35
Ctrl Time
0:31

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Junior Albini19 / 4422 / 470 / 00
1Maurice Greene37 / 8339 / 850 / 00

Maurice Greene

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8

Junior Albini

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5