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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Greg Hardy won · KO/TKO

Elo1400

Elo1419

Maurice GreenevsGreg HardyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · Saturday, October 31, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Greg Hardy won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Maurice Greene wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Greg Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maurice Greene at +250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Greg Hardy is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Maurice Greene has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Greg Hardy has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Greg Hardy has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Maurice Greene

Red Corner

Greg Hardy

Blue Corner

+250

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-335

(77%)

1400

Elo

1419

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'7"

Height

6'5"

203.2 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maurice Greene

oldest →

KOvs Junior Albini · Jun 19

KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Oct 19

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 20

SUBvs Gian Villante · Jun 20

vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 21

latest

Greg HardyL3 streak

oldest →

DECvs Alekander Volkov · Nov 19

vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21

KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maurice GreeneMetricGreg Hardy

3.28

Strikes / min

4.79

3.61

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

45%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.20

27%

Takedown defense

64%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.33Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+1.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Maurice GreeneGreg Hardy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maurice Greene(8 fights)Greg Hardy(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.2|Blue +19.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maurice GreeneTargetGreg Hardy

By target zone

29% acc · 35%

Head

58% acc · 70%

60% acc · 18%

Body

100% acc · 11%

73% acc · 47%

Leg

64% acc · 20%

By position

44% acc · 94%

Distance

53% acc · 41%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

Ground

71% acc · 59%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maurice Greene rounds

even

Greg Hardy rounds

Round 1Greg Hardy edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 2Greg Hardy edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 37

Sig Strikes

46 / 74

42.5%

Sig Str %

62.5%

17 / 37

Total Strikes

56 / 85

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

2:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Greg Hardy	25 / 43	35 / 54	1 / 1
1	Maurice Greene	13 / 25	13 / 25	0 / 0
2	Greg Hardy	21 / 31	21 / 31	0 / 0
2	Maurice Greene	4 / 12	4 / 12	0 / 0

Maurice Greene

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights8

Greg Hardy

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights9