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Elo1525

Elo1602

Mateusz GamrotvsQuillan SalkilldUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in

Style matchupMateusz Gamrot: WrestlervsQuillan Salkilld: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Fight Detective pick

We select Quillan Salkilld to win. Informational only—not a guarantee or betting advice.

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model estimate

Quillan Salkilld

53.1% model estimate

Internal research signal — not a betting edge.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Quillan Salkilld enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mateusz Gamrot has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Quillan Salkilld has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mateusz Gamrot

Red Corner

Quillan Salkilld

Blue Corner

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Vegas Odds

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1525

Elo

1602

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mateusz Gamrot

oldest →

vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24

vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24

vs Ludovit Klein · May 25

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25

SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26

latest

Quillan SalkilldW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anshul Jubli · Feb 25

vs Yanal Ashmouz · Jun 25

KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 25

SUBvs Jamie Mullarkey · Jan 26

KOvs Beneil Dariush · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mateusz GamrotMetricQuillan Salkilld

3.21

Strikes / min

5.01

2.81

Strikes absorbed / min

3.03

60%

Strike defense

45%

5.22

TDs / 15 min

7.25

83%

Takedown defense

80%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+1.98

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)Quillan Salkilld(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -77.8|Blue +77.8

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO58%

Historical win share: Quillan Salkilld earned 60% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission42%

Historical win share: Mateusz Gamrot earned 22% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

The Pick

Vegas favorite

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Odds

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Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Checking bet tracker…

Mateusz Gamrot

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12

Quillan Salkilld

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4