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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Guram Kutateladze won · S-DEC

Elo1525

Elo1492

Mateusz GamrotvsGuram KutateladzeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, October 17, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Guram Kutateladze won

S-DEC

Style matchupMateusz Gamrot: WrestlervsGuram Kutateladze: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Guram Kutateladze wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Guram Kutateladze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Guram Kutateladze at +245 American odds

+$245 profit

$345 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Gamrot (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Mateusz Gamrot

Red Corner

Guram Kutateladze

Blue Corner

-335

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1525

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mateusz Gamrot

oldest →

vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24

vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24

vs Ludovit Klein · May 25

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25

SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26

latest

Guram Kutateladze

oldest →

vs Damir Ismagulov · Jun 22

KOvs Elves Brener · Jul 23

vs Jordan Vucenic · Aug 24

vs Kaue Fernandes · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mateusz GamrotMetricGuram Kutateladze

3.21

Strikes / min

3.53

2.81

Strikes absorbed / min

4.22

60%

Strike defense

54%

5.22

TDs / 15 min

0.61

83%

Takedown defense

75%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mateusz GamrotGuram Kutateladze

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)Guram Kutateladze(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.6|Blue -32.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mateusz GamrotTargetGuram Kutateladze

By target zone

38% acc · 81%

Head

25% acc · 32%

60% acc · 12%

Body

50% acc · 32%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

93% acc · 35%

By position

36% acc · 71%

Distance

42% acc · 95%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

58% acc · 21%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mateusz Gamrot rounds

even

Guram Kutateladze rounds

Round 1Mateusz Gamrot edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:01

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Guram Kutateladze edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control0:56

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Mateusz Gamrot edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns3

Control1:32

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 126

Sig Strikes

37 / 86

41%

Sig Str %

44%

69 / 151

Total Strikes

43 / 93

5 / 16

TDs

0 / 1

29%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:29

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Guram Kutateladze	11 / 20	12 / 22	0 / 0
1	Mateusz Gamrot	15 / 32	25 / 43	1 / 4
2	Guram Kutateladze	15 / 37	20 / 42	0 / 0
2	Mateusz Gamrot	16 / 45	18 / 52	1 / 5
3	Guram Kutateladze	11 / 29	11 / 29	0 / 1
3	Mateusz Gamrot	21 / 49	26 / 56	3 / 7

Mateusz Gamrot

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12

Guram Kutateladze

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5