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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Maryna Moroz won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1367

Maryna MorozvsDanielle TaylorUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · Saturday, August 6, 2016Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Official fight result

Maryna Moroz won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Maryna Moroz wins(74.3%)

Actual result: Maryna Moroz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maryna Moroz at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Danielle Taylor has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Danielle Taylor has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Maryna Moroz has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Maryna Moroz

Red Corner

Danielle Taylor

Blue Corner

-275

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1493

Elo

1367

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'0"

170.18 cm

Reach

152.4 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maryna MorozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Mar 20

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Mar 22

vs Jennifer Maia · Nov 22

SUBvs Karine Silva · Aug 23

vs Joanne Wood · Mar 24

latest

Danielle TaylorL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Seohee Ham · Nov 16

vs Jessica Penne · Apr 17

vs JJ Aldrich · Jan 18

vs Weili Zhang · Aug 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maryna MorozMetricDanielle Taylor

4.42

Strikes / min

2.75

4.89

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

51%

Strike defense

71%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.20

42%

Takedown defense

70%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Maryna MorozDanielle Taylor

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maryna Moroz(10 fights)Danielle Taylor(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +126.2|Blue -126.2

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maryna MorozTargetDanielle Taylor

By target zone

5% acc · 76%

Head

8% acc · 41%

14% acc · 6%

Body

0% acc

50% acc · 18%

Leg

67% acc · 59%

By position

7% acc · 100%

Distance

17% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maryna Moroz rounds

even

Danielle Taylor rounds

Round 1Danielle Taylor edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 251

Sig Strikes

17 / 102

6.3%

Sig Str %

18%

17 / 251

Total Strikes

17 / 102

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Danielle Taylor	9 / 27	9 / 27	0 / 0
1	Maryna Moroz	5 / 93	5 / 93	0 / 0
2	Danielle Taylor	4 / 33	4 / 33	0 / 0
2	Maryna Moroz	4 / 76	4 / 76	0 / 0
3	Danielle Taylor	4 / 42	4 / 42	1 / 1
3	Maryna Moroz	8 / 82	8 / 82	0 / 0

Maryna Moroz

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11

Danielle Taylor

StanceOrthodox

Height60.0"

Reach60.0"

Fights5