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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Maryna Moroz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1357

Maryna MorozvsCristina StanciuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · Sunday, April 10, 2016Zagreb, Croatia

Official fight result

Maryna Moroz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMaryna Moroz: Pressure fightervsCristina Stanciu: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Maryna Moroz wins(68.7%)

Actual result: Maryna Moroz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maryna Moroz at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Maryna Moroz

Red Corner

Cristina Stanciu

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1493

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'3"

170.18 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maryna MorozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Mar 20

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Mar 22

vs Jennifer Maia · Nov 22

SUBvs Karine Silva · Aug 23

vs Joanne Wood · Mar 24

latest

Cristina Stanciu

oldest →

KOvs Cortney Casey · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maryna MorozMetricCristina Stanciu

4.42

Strikes / min

2.50

4.89

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

51%

Strike defense

52%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.85

42%

Takedown defense

40%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Maryna MorozCristina Stanciu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maryna Moroz(10 fights)Cristina Stanciu(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +135.6|Blue -135.6

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maryna MorozTargetCristina Stanciu

By target zone

29% acc · 51%

Head

33% acc · 38%

76% acc · 46%

Body

70% acc · 36%

50% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 26%

By position

31% acc · 63%

Distance

48% acc · 77%

Clinch

25% acc · 3%

93% acc · 37%

Ground

89% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maryna Moroz rounds

even

Cristina Stanciu rounds

Round 1Maryna Moroz edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control2:53

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:25

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Cristina Stanciu edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:35Control

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 85

Sig Strikes

39 / 76

43.3%

Sig Str %

51.7%

55 / 110

Total Strikes

50 / 88

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

33.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:18

Ctrl Time

3:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cristina Stanciu	11 / 19	20 / 29	0 / 0	1
1	Maryna Moroz	16 / 23	30 / 39	1 / 1	0
2	Cristina Stanciu	11 / 30	11 / 30	0 / 0	1
2	Maryna Moroz	10 / 35	15 / 43	0 / 1	0
3	Cristina Stanciu	17 / 27	19 / 29	1 / 1	0
3	Maryna Moroz	9 / 27	10 / 28	0 / 1	1

Maryna Moroz

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11

Cristina Stanciu

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach—

Fights2