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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Angela Hill won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Maryna Moroz
Elo1506
Angela Hill

Maryna MorozvsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · Saturday, February 24, 2018Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMaryna Moroz: Pressure fightervsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Maryna Moroz wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maryna Moroz at +130 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Angela Hill has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Maryna Moroz
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
1493
Elo
1506
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maryna MorozL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Mar 20
W
SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Mar 22
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Nov 22
L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Aug 23
L
vs Joanne Wood · Mar 24
latest
Angela Hill
oldest →
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
W
DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maryna MorozMetricAngela Hill
4.42
Strikes / min
5.37
4.89
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.75
42%
Takedown defense
72%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1471Strikes29.8 vs 64.8Takedowns0.3 vs 0.2Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form0.7 vs -0.4
Maryna MorozAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Maryna Moroz(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.9|Blue +12.9
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +462.0|Blue -462.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maryna MorozTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

39
16% acc · 46%
Head
63
44% acc · 55%
32
52% acc · 38%
Body
26
70% acc · 23%
13
72% acc · 15%
Leg
25
89% acc · 22%

By position

78
26% acc · 93%
Distance
89
49% acc · 78%
6
38% acc · 7%
Clinch
22
92% acc · 19%
0
0% acc
Ground
3
100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Maryna Moroz rounds
0
even
3
Angela Hill rounds
Round 1Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 2Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:31
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
Round 3Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:00
47Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
84 / 321
Sig Strikes
114 / 209
25.3%
Sig Str %
54%
100 / 339
Total Strikes
121 / 216
0 / 2
TDs
1 / 2
0%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:31
Ctrl Time
2:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Angela Hill38 / 7339 / 740 / 10
1Maryna Moroz26 / 10433 / 1130 / 10
2Angela Hill29 / 5434 / 591 / 10
2Maryna Moroz19 / 8726 / 940 / 00
3Angela Hill47 / 8248 / 830 / 00
3Maryna Moroz39 / 13041 / 1320 / 10

Maryna Moroz

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30