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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Marwan Rahiki won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1546
Marwan Rahiki
Elo1474

Marwan RahikivsOllie SchmidUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia

Official fight result

Marwan Rahiki won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:47

Style matchupMarwan Rahiki: Pressure fightervsOllie Schmid: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Marwan Rahiki wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Marwan Rahiki wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marwan Rahiki has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Marwan Rahiki has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Marwan Rahiki
Red Corner
VS
Ollie Schmid
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1546
Elo
1474
24
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marwan Rahiki
oldest →
W
KOvs Harry Hardwick · Mar 26
latest
Ollie SchmidNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marwan RahikiMetricOllie Schmid
7.75
Strikes / min
3.23
5.90
Strikes absorbed / min
7.90
57%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.85Δ 6.52 — meaningful gap-4.67
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601485151015351560← oldermost recent →
Marwan Rahiki(2 fights)Ollie Schmid(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +72.1|Blue -72.1
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Marwan Rahiki

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1

Ollie Schmid

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights0