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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Jared Cannonier won · U-DEC R5

Elo1467

Elo1481

Marvin VettorivsJared CannonierUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Saturday, June 17, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jared Cannonier won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupMarvin Vettori: Pressure fightervsJared Cannonier: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Marvin Vettori wins(71.9%)

Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marvin Vettori at -124 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Marvin Vettori

Red Corner

Jared Cannonier

Blue Corner

-124

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+106

(49%)

1467

Elo

1481

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marvin VettoriL3 streak

oldest →

vs Robert Whittaker · Sep 22

vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23

vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25

vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25

vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25

latest

Jared CannonierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24

vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25

vs Michael Page · Aug 25

DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marvin VettoriMetricJared Cannonier

4.74

Strikes / min

4.42

4.55

Strikes absorbed / min

4.35

56%

Strike defense

56%

1.41

TDs / 15 min

0.54

68%

Takedown defense

64%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marvin VettoriJared Cannonier

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marvin Vettori(10 fights)Jared Cannonier(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.9|Blue +13.9

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marvin VettoriTargetJared Cannonier

By target zone

117

46% acc · 76%

Head

173

51% acc · 72%

71% acc · 10%

Body

91% acc · 16%

91% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

148

51% acc · 97%

Distance

195

55% acc · 81%

63% acc · 3%

Clinch

84% acc · 11%

Ground

77% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marvin Vettori rounds

even

Jared Cannonier rounds

Round 1Marvin Vettori edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

82Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control0:23

49Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:43Control

Round 4Even round

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:34Control

Round 5Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:05

49Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

153 / 301

Sig Strikes

241 / 411

50.6%

Sig Str %

56.6%

154 / 302

Total Strikes

257 / 428

1 / 1

TDs

4 / 6

100%

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:28

Ctrl Time

3:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jared Cannonier	29 / 66	29 / 66	0 / 0
1	Marvin Vettori	38 / 71	38 / 71	0 / 0
2	Jared Cannonier	82 / 125	94 / 138	0 / 0
2	Marvin Vettori	24 / 50	24 / 50	0 / 0
3	Jared Cannonier	49 / 81	52 / 84	1 / 2
3	Marvin Vettori	31 / 50	31 / 50	1 / 1
4	Marvin Vettori	37 / 76	37 / 76	0 / 0
4	Jared Cannonier	32 / 57	32 / 57	1 / 2
5	Jared Cannonier	49 / 82	50 / 83	2 / 2
5	Marvin Vettori	23 / 54	24 / 55	0 / 0

Marvin Vettori

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights17

Jared Cannonier

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights21