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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Steven Peterson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1376

Elo1455

Martin BravovsSteven PetersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Saturday, September 21, 2019Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Steven Peterson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:31

Style matchupMartin Bravo: WrestlervsSteven Peterson: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Martin Bravo wins(57.5%)

Actual result: Steven Peterson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Martin Bravo at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Martin Bravo has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Martin Bravo (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Martin Bravo

Red Corner

Steven Peterson

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1376

Elo

1455

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Martin BravoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 16

KOvs Humberto Bandenay · Aug 17

vs Alex Caceres · Jul 18

latest

Steven PetersonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Luis Pena · Mar 19

vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19

vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21

vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22

vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Martin BravoMetricSteven Peterson

7.66

Strikes / min

4.76

5.72

Strikes absorbed / min

5.94

51%

Strike defense

53%

2.60

TDs / 15 min

1.42

85%

Takedown defense

64%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.94Δ 3.12 — meaningful gap-1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Martin BravoSteven Peterson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Martin Bravo(4 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -79.2|Blue +79.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +379.0|Blue -379.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Martin BravoTargetSteven Peterson

By target zone

38% acc · 70%

Head

39% acc · 67%

61% acc · 23%

Body

71% acc · 24%

67% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

43% acc · 99%

Distance

47% acc · 94%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

Ground

40% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Martin Bravo rounds

even

Steven Peterson rounds

Round 1Martin Bravo edged it

Sig. strikes69

Takedowns1

Control0:25

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control0:13

Knockdowns0

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 199

Sig Strikes

49 / 105

42.5%

Sig Str %

46%

93 / 206

Total Strikes

53 / 109

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

41.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:38

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Steven Peterson	35 / 75	39 / 79	0 / 0
1	Martin Bravo	69 / 159	74 / 164	1 / 3
2	Steven Peterson	14 / 30	14 / 30	0 / 0
2	Martin Bravo	17 / 40	19 / 42	1 / 2

Martin Bravo

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Steven Peterson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8