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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Humberto Bandenay won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1376

Elo1375

Martin BravovsHumberto BandenayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · Saturday, August 5, 2017Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Humberto Bandenay won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:26

Style matchupMartin Bravo: WrestlervsHumberto Bandenay: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Martin Bravo wins(72.1%)

Actual result: Humberto Bandenay wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Martin Bravo at -300 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Humberto Bandenay enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Humberto Bandenay is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Martin Bravo has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Martin Bravo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Martin Bravo has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Martin Bravo

Red Corner

Humberto Bandenay

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1376

Elo

1375

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Martin BravoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 16

vs Alex Caceres · Jul 18

KOvs Steven Peterson · Sep 19

latest

Humberto BandenayL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gabriel Benitez · May 18

vs Austin Arnett · Nov 18

DECvs Luiz Garagorri · Aug 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Martin BravoMetricHumberto Bandenay

7.66

Strikes / min

2.22

5.72

Strikes absorbed / min

4.79

51%

Strike defense

41%

2.60

TDs / 15 min

2.90

85%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.94Δ 4.51 — meaningful gap-2.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Martin BravoHumberto Bandenay

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Martin Bravo(4 fights)Humberto Bandenay(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Martin BravoTargetHumberto Bandenay

By target zone

0% acc

Head

60% acc · 60%

100% acc · 100%

Body

100% acc · 20%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 20%

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

60% acc · 60%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Martin Bravo rounds

even

Humberto Bandenay rounds

Round 1Humberto Bandenay edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 3

Sig Strikes

5 / 7

33%

Sig Str %

71%

1 / 3

Total Strikes

5 / 7

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Humberto Bandenay	5 / 7	5 / 7	0 / 0	0
1	Martin Bravo	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0

Martin Bravo

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Humberto Bandenay

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4