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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Martin Bravo won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1376

Elo1488

Martin BravovsClaudio PuellesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · Saturday, November 5, 2016Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Martin Bravo won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:55

Style matchupMartin Bravo: WrestlervsClaudio Puelles: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Claudio Puelles wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Martin Bravo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudio Puelles at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Martin Bravo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Martin Bravo is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Claudio Puelles has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Martin Bravo has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Martin Bravo

Red Corner

Claudio Puelles

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1376

Elo

1488

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Martin BravoL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Humberto Bandenay · Aug 17

vs Alex Caceres · Jul 18

KOvs Steven Peterson · Sep 19

latest

Claudio PuellesL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Dec 21

SUBvs Clay Guida · Apr 22

KOvs Dan Hooker · Nov 22

vs Fares Ziam · Feb 24

vs Joaquim Silva · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Martin BravoMetricClaudio Puelles

7.66

Strikes / min

1.54

5.72

Strikes absorbed / min

2.62

51%

Strike defense

48%

2.60

TDs / 15 min

3.29

85%

Takedown defense

60%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.94Δ 3.02 — meaningful gap-1.08

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Martin Bravo(4 fights)Claudio Puelles(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -111.7|Blue +111.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Martin BravoTargetClaudio Puelles

By target zone

41% acc · 71%

Head

29% acc · 48%

67% acc · 25%

Body

75% acc · 41%

67% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

46% acc · 93%

Distance

42% acc · 93%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

50% acc · 7%

67% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Martin Bravo rounds

even

Claudio Puelles rounds

Round 1Martin Bravo edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 2Martin Bravo edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 121

Sig Strikes

29 / 68

47%

Sig Str %

40.5%

64 / 129

Total Strikes

29 / 68

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 6

—

TD %

12.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Claudio Puelles	23 / 52	23 / 52	1 / 4
1	Martin Bravo	35 / 79	39 / 83	0 / 0
2	Claudio Puelles	6 / 16	6 / 16	0 / 2
2	Martin Bravo	21 / 42	25 / 46	0 / 0

Martin Bravo

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Claudio Puelles

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8