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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marlon Vera won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1475
Marlon Vera
Elo1371

Marlon VeravsWuliji BurenUFC Prediction Result

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · Saturday, August 4, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Marlon Vera won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:53

Model Prediction: Marlon Vera wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Marlon Vera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marlon Vera at -470 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Marlon Vera
Red Corner
VS
Wuliji Buren
Blue Corner
-470
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
1475
Elo
1371
33
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24
L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24
L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25
L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26
latest
Wuliji BurenL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rolando Dy · Nov 17
L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marlon VeraMetricWuliji Buren
4.18
Strikes / min
—
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
—
50%
Strike defense
—
0.47
TDs / 15 min
—
71%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1483Strikes37.8 vs 17.0Takedowns0.4 vs 4.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Marlon VeraWuliji Buren

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Wuliji Buren(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +104.0|Blue -104.0
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Marlon Vera

StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26

Wuliji Buren

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2