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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1475

Elo1483

Marlon VeravsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Saturday, August 3, 2024Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarlon Vera: Pressure fightervsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(72.0%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at -148 American odds

+$68 profit

$168 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marlon Vera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Marlon Vera

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

+124

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-148

(60%)

1475

Elo

1483

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'5"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marlon VeraL3 streak

oldest →

vs Cory Sandhagen · Mar 23

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23

vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25

vs David Martinez · Feb 26

latest

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marlon VeraMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

4.18

Strikes / min

2.63

5.34

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

50%

Strike defense

49%

0.47

TDs / 15 min

1.61

71%

Takedown defense

57%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.16evenly matched on net striking-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marlon VeraDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marlon Vera(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.2|Blue +8.2

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marlon VeraTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

22% acc · 29%

Head

32% acc · 40%

68% acc · 29%

Body

75% acc · 33%

79% acc · 42%

Leg

92% acc · 27%

By position

43% acc · 88%

Distance

50% acc · 93%

67% acc · 12%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marlon Vera rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:20Control

Round 2Marlon Vera edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:05

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 117

Sig Strikes

45 / 90

44.3%

Sig Str %

58.3%

67 / 136

Total Strikes

59 / 104

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 14

—

TD %

22%

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

2:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	10 / 12	22 / 24	2 / 3
1	Marlon Vera	8 / 18	21 / 35	0 / 0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	14 / 28	14 / 28	0 / 6
2	Marlon Vera	18 / 40	19 / 41	0 / 0
3	Deiveson Figueiredo	21 / 50	23 / 52	0 / 5
3	Marlon Vera	26 / 59	27 / 60	0 / 0

Marlon Vera

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20