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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Marlon Vera won · U-DEC R3

Elo1475

Elo1521

Marlon VeravsDavey GrantUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · Saturday, June 19, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Marlon Vera won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarlon Vera: Pressure fightervsDavey Grant: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Marlon Vera wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Marlon Vera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marlon Vera at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Marlon Vera

Red Corner

Davey Grant

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1475

Elo

1521

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marlon VeraL4 streak

oldest →

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23

vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25

vs David Martinez · Feb 26

latest

Davey Grant

oldest →

vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23

vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24

vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25

DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marlon VeraMetricDavey Grant

4.18

Strikes / min

5.58

5.34

Strikes absorbed / min

4.04

50%

Strike defense

54%

0.47

TDs / 15 min

0.95

71%

Takedown defense

65%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.16Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap+1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marlon VeraDavey Grant

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marlon Vera(10 fights)Davey Grant(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -46.0|Blue +46.0

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marlon VeraTargetDavey Grant

By target zone

55% acc · 59%

Head

34% acc · 47%

82% acc · 27%

Body

76% acc · 39%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

56% acc · 58%

Distance

48% acc · 90%

90% acc · 18%

Clinch

40% acc · 2%

78% acc · 24%

Ground

86% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marlon Vera rounds

even

Davey Grant rounds

Round 1Davey Grant edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control0:27

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Marlon Vera edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control1:00

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:54Control

Round 3Marlon Vera edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns1

Control3:48

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

105 / 162

Sig Strikes

83 / 168

65%

Sig Str %

47.3%

112 / 172

Total Strikes

95 / 180

2 / 2

TDs

1 / 2

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:15

Ctrl Time

1:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Davey Grant	41 / 84	41 / 84	0 / 0	0
1	Marlon Vera	30 / 52	31 / 53	1 / 1	0
2	Davey Grant	31 / 57	38 / 64	1 / 1	0
2	Marlon Vera	43 / 67	46 / 70	0 / 0	0
3	Davey Grant	11 / 27	16 / 32	0 / 1	0
3	Marlon Vera	32 / 43	35 / 49	1 / 1	3

Marlon Vera

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights16