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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dricus Du Plessis won · KO/TKO
Elo1395
Markus Perez
Elo1542
Dricus Du Plessis editorial illustration

Markus PerezvsDricus Du PlessisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Saturday, October 10, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Dricus Du Plessis won

KO/TKO

Style matchupMarkus Perez: Submission grapplervsDricus Du Plessis: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Markus Perez wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Dricus Du Plessis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Markus Perez at +133 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Markus Perez has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Markus Perez
Red Corner
VS
Dricus Du Plessis
Blue Corner
+133
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-167
(63%)
1395
Elo
1542
38
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Markus PerezL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs James Bochnovic · May 18
L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Aug 18
W
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 19
L
vs Wellington Turman · Nov 19
L
vs Dalcha Lungiambula · Jan 21
latest
Dricus Du Plessis
oldest →
W
vs Sean Strickland · Jan 24
W
SUBvs Israel Adesanya · Aug 24
W
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25
L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25
W
DECvs Kamaru Usman · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Markus PerezMetricDricus Du Plessis
2.60
Strikes / min
5.18
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
52%
Strike defense
52%
0.81
TDs / 15 min
2.22
77%
Takedown defense
34%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.12Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes2.8 vs 0.0Takedowns1.1 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.10 vs 0.00Form-0.4 vs 0.0
Markus PerezDricus Du Plessis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Markus Perez(7 fights)Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -147.4|Blue +147.4
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Markus PerezTargetDricus Du Plessis

By target zone

8
22% acc · 57%
Head
7
25% acc · 27%
3
75% acc · 21%
Body
4
80% acc · 15%
3
100% acc · 21%
Leg
15
60% acc · 58%

By position

14
33% acc · 100%
Distance
23
43% acc · 88%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
3
75% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Markus Perez rounds
0
even
1
Dricus Du Plessis rounds
Round 1Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
14 / 43
Sig Strikes
26 / 58
32%
Sig Str %
44%
14 / 43
Total Strikes
26 / 58
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dricus Du Plessis26 / 5826 / 580 / 00
1Markus Perez14 / 4314 / 430 / 00

Markus Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7

Dricus Du Plessis

StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights11