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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
2 days away
Elo1500
Mark Vologdin editorial illustration
Elo1475
Josias Musasa editorial illustration

Mark VologdinvsJosias MusasaUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in
Style matchupMark Vologdin: Pressure fightervsJosias Musasa: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Mark Vologdin vs Josias Musasa is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Josias Musasa has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Josias Musasa has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Vologdin
Red Corner
VS
Josias Musasa
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1500
Elo
1475
26
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'8"
165.1 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark Vologdin
oldest →
D
DECvs John Castaneda · Apr 26
latest
Josias MusasaL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Carlos Vera · Mar 25
L
vs Colby Thicknesse · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark VologdinMetricJosias Musasa
6.93
Strikes / min
3.19
10.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.39
40%
Strike defense
36%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.90
57%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.07Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap-1.20
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601473148514981510← oldermost recent →
Mark Vologdin(1 fights)Josias Musasa(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +24.7|Blue -24.7
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +34.5|Blue -34.5
Grappler Score
Red +14.7|Blue -14.7
Layoff
Red -203.0|Blue +203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Mark Vologdin

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights0

Josias Musasa

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2