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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Yushin Okami won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1491

Mark MunozvsYushin OkamiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · Sunday, August 1, 2010San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Yushin Okami won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yushin Okami wins(69.6%)

Actual result: Yushin Okami wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yushin Okami at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yushin Okami has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).
Yushin Okami has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Munoz

Red Corner

Yushin Okami

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1490

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark Munoz

oldest →

vs Tim Boetsch · Jul 13

KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13

SUBvs Gegard Mousasi · May 14

SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15

vs Luke Barnatt · May 15

latest

Yushin Okami

oldest →

vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13

KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13

SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17

vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18

vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark MunozMetricYushin Okami

3.12

Strikes / min

2.06

2.26

Strikes absorbed / min

2.25

57%

Strike defense

60%

3.17

TDs / 15 min

1.98

57%

Takedown defense

84%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.86Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mark MunozYushin Okami

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Munoz(10 fights)Yushin Okami(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -10.0|Blue +10.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark MunozTargetYushin Okami

By target zone

32% acc · 81%

Head

21% acc · 73%

100% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 27%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

By position

37% acc · 81%

Distance

24% acc · 82%

50% acc · 19%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

0% acc

Ground

50% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Munoz rounds

even

Yushin Okami rounds

Round 1Mark Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:55

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Mark Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:28

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:04Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns0

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:42Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 44

Sig Strikes

22 / 83

36.7%

Sig Str %

22%

19 / 48

Total Strikes

101 / 162

1 / 15

TDs

1 / 1

8.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:27

Ctrl Time

5:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yushin Okami	3 / 18	14 / 29	0 / 0
1	Mark Munoz	4 / 10	7 / 14	1 / 4
2	Yushin Okami	3 / 22	22 / 41	1 / 1
2	Mark Munoz	6 / 18	6 / 18	0 / 5
3	Yushin Okami	16 / 43	65 / 92	0 / 0
3	Mark Munoz	6 / 16	6 / 16	0 / 6

Mark Munoz

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Yushin Okami

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12