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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Sean McCorkle won · SUB R1

Elo1369

Elo1351

Mark HuntvsSean McCorkleUFC Prediction Result

UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · Saturday, September 25, 2010Indianapolis, Indiana, USA

Official fight result

Sean McCorkle won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:03

Style matchupMark Hunt: Well-roundedvsSean McCorkle: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Sean McCorkle wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Sean McCorkle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean McCorkle at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Sean McCorkle has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Mark Hunt has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Sean McCorkle has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Hunt

Red Corner

Sean McCorkle

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1369

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark HuntL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17

vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18

vs Justin Willis · Dec 18

latest

Sean McCorkleL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 10

SUBvs Christian Morecraft · Mar 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark HuntMetricSean McCorkle

2.81

Strikes / min

0.85

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

2.48

51%

Strike defense

52%

0.51

TDs / 15 min

2.12

64%

Takedown defense

33%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

4.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap-1.63

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Hunt(10 fights)Sean McCorkle(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.1|Blue -18.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark HuntTargetSean McCorkle

By target zone

25% acc · 100%

Head

0% acc

Body

Leg

By position

14% acc · 50%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Hunt rounds

even

Sean McCorkle rounds

Round 1Mark Hunt edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control0:34

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 8

Sig Strikes

0 / 4

25%

Sig Str %

3 / 9

Total Strikes

0 / 4

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:34

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean McCorkle	0 / 4	0 / 4	0 / 2	2
1	Mark Hunt	2 / 8	3 / 9	1 / 1	0

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights16

Sean McCorkle

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights3