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Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Mark Hunt won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1369

Elo1357

Mark HuntvsFrank MirUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · Saturday, March 19, 2016Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Mark Hunt won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:01

Style matchupMark Hunt: Well-roundedvsFrank Mir: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mark Hunt wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Mark Hunt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Hunt at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Frank Mir is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Mark Hunt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Mark Hunt has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Frank Mir has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Hunt

Red Corner

Frank Mir

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1369

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

6'3"

182.88 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark HuntL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17

vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18

vs Justin Willis · Dec 18

latest

Frank Mir

oldest →

KOvs Josh Barnett · Aug 13

vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14

KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15

KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15

vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark HuntMetricFrank Mir

2.81

Strikes / min

2.18

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

3.84

51%

Strike defense

38%

0.51

TDs / 15 min

2.02

64%

Takedown defense

54%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap-1.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mark HuntFrank Mir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Hunt(10 fights)Frank Mir(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.5|Blue -12.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark HuntTargetFrank Mir

By target zone

43% acc · 75%

Head

10% acc · 100%

50% acc · 13%

Body

33% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

42% acc · 100%

Distance

10% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Hunt rounds

even

Frank Mir rounds

Round 1Mark Hunt edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 19

Sig Strikes

1 / 10

42%

Sig Str %

10%

8 / 19

Total Strikes

2 / 11

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Frank Mir	1 / 10	2 / 11	0 / 3	0
1	Mark Hunt	8 / 19	8 / 19	0 / 0	0

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights16

Frank Mir

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12