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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Mark Hunt won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1369

Elo1351

Mark HuntvsChris TuchschererUFC Prediction Result

UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · Saturday, February 26, 2011Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Mark Hunt won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:41

Model Prediction: Chris Tuchscherer wins(66.3%)

Actual result: Mark Hunt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Tuchscherer at -265 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Chris Tuchscherer has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Mark Hunt has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Chris Tuchscherer has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Hunt

Red Corner

Chris Tuchscherer

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-265

(73%)

1369

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark HuntL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17

vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18

vs Justin Willis · Dec 18

latest

Chris Tuchscherer

oldest →

KOvs Brendan Schaub · Jul 10

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark HuntMetricChris Tuchscherer

2.81

Strikes / min

1.35

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

51%

Strike defense

47%

0.51

TDs / 15 min

1.19

64%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap-1.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mark HuntChris Tuchscherer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Hunt(10 fights)Chris Tuchscherer(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.1|Blue -18.1

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark HuntTargetChris Tuchscherer

By target zone

34% acc · 100%

Head

22% acc · 89%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 11%

Leg

By position

32% acc · 93%

Distance

20% acc · 78%

50% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Hunt rounds

even

Chris Tuchscherer rounds

Round 1Chris Tuchscherer edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:45Control

Round 2Mark Hunt edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 43

Sig Strikes

9 / 37

33%

Sig Str %

22.5%

24 / 56

Total Strikes

22 / 52

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

1:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chris Tuchscherer	7 / 27	20 / 42	1 / 2
1	Mark Hunt	9 / 29	19 / 42	0 / 0
2	Chris Tuchscherer	2 / 10	2 / 10	0 / 2
2	Mark Hunt	5 / 14	5 / 14	0 / 0

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights16

Chris Tuchscherer

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights2