Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mark Hunt won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1369
Mark Hunt
Elo1490
Cheick Kongo

Mark HuntvsCheick KongoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · Saturday, February 25, 2012Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Mark Hunt won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:11

Style matchupMark Hunt: Well-roundedvsCheick Kongo: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cheick Kongo wins(60.7%)

Actual result: Mark Hunt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cheick Kongo at -280 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Cheick Kongo has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Cheick Kongo is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Mark Hunt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Cheick Kongo has a 25cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Hunt
Red Corner
VS
Cheick Kongo
Blue Corner
+255
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
1369
Elo
1490
52
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'4"
182.88 cm
Reach
208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark HuntL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17
L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18
L
vs Justin Willis · Dec 18
latest
Cheick Kongo
oldest →
W
KOvs Paul Buentello · Mar 10
W
KOvs Pat Barry · Jun 11
W
vs Matt Mitrione · Oct 11
W
vs Shawn Jordan · Jul 12
L
KOvs Roy Nelson · Apr 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark HuntMetricCheick Kongo
2.81
Strikes / min
3.33
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
1.28
51%
Strike defense
54%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
2.30
64%
Takedown defense
52%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.09Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap+2.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1541Strikes21.0 vs 35.1Takedowns1.0 vs 1.6Sub Atts0.33 vs 0.20Form0.6 vs 1.0
Mark HuntCheick Kongo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Mark Hunt(10 fights)Cheick Kongo(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -121.1|Blue +121.1
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark HuntTargetCheick Kongo

By target zone

8
57% acc · 80%
Head
2
29% acc · 40%
0
Body
2
100% acc · 40%
2
100% acc · 20%
Leg
1
33% acc · 20%

By position

9
60% acc · 90%
Distance
4
36% acc · 80%
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 20%
1
100% acc · 10%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Mark Hunt rounds
0
even
0
Cheick Kongo rounds
Round 1Mark Hunt edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:18
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
10 / 16
Sig Strikes
5 / 12
62%
Sig Str %
41%
10 / 16
Total Strikes
5 / 12
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:18
Ctrl Time
0:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cheick Kongo5 / 125 / 120 / 00
1Mark Hunt10 / 1610 / 160 / 00

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16

Cheick Kongo

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights6