Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mark Hunt won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1369
Mark Hunt
Elo1358
Antonio Silva

Mark HuntvsAntonio SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · Saturday, November 14, 2015Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Mark Hunt won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:41

Style matchupMark Hunt: Well-roundedvsAntonio Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Mark Hunt wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Mark Hunt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Hunt at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Antonio Silva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Antonio Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Mark Hunt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Antonio Silva has a 25cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Hunt
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Silva
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1369
Elo
1358
52
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'4"
182.88 cm
Reach
208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark HuntL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17
L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18
L
vs Justin Willis · Dec 18
latest
Antonio SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 14
L
KOvs Frank Mir · Feb 15
W
KOvs Soa Palelei · Aug 15
L
KOvs Stefan Struve · May 16
L
KOvs Roy Nelson · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark HuntMetricAntonio Silva
2.81
Strikes / min
2.89
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.82
64%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1492Strikes32.7 vs 19.8Takedowns0.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.00Form-0.4 vs -0.0
Mark HuntAntonio Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Mark Hunt(10 fights)Antonio Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +11.1|Blue -11.1
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark HuntTargetAntonio Silva

By target zone

7
54% acc · 58%
Head
2
33% acc · 22%
2
100% acc · 17%
Body
2
40% acc · 22%
3
100% acc · 25%
Leg
5
83% acc · 56%

By position

10
67% acc · 83%
Distance
9
53% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
2
100% acc · 17%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Mark Hunt rounds
0
even
0
Antonio Silva rounds
Round 1Mark Hunt edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
12 / 18
Sig Strikes
9 / 17
66%
Sig Str %
52%
13 / 19
Total Strikes
9 / 17
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Antonio Silva9 / 179 / 170 / 00
1Mark Hunt12 / 1813 / 190 / 00

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16

Antonio Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights10