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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Mark Hominick won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1352

Elo1355

Mark HominickvsGeorge RoopUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · Saturday, January 22, 2011Killeen, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Mark Hominick won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:28

Style matchupMark Hominick: Pressure fightervsGeorge Roop: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Mark Hominick wins(71.4%)

Actual result: Mark Hominick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Hominick at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mark Hominick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mark Hominick is a KO finisher (100% of wins). George Roop has lost 67% of fights by KO.
George Roop has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Hominick

Red Corner

George Roop

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1352

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'1"

172.72 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark HominickL4 streak

oldest →

vs Jose Aldo · Apr 11

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 11

vs Eddie Yagin · Apr 12

vs Pablo Garza · Nov 12

latest

George RoopL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13

KOvs Francisco Rivera · Nov 13

vs Dustin Kimura · Apr 14

KOvs Rob Font · Jul 14

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark HominickMetricGeorge Roop

4.08

Strikes / min

3.43

4.18

Strikes absorbed / min

2.47

69%

Strike defense

60%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

1.05

71%

Takedown defense

59%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mark HominickGeorge Roop

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Hominick(5 fights)George Roop(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.6|Blue +3.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark HominickTargetGeorge Roop

By target zone

57% acc · 89%

Head

17% acc · 33%

50% acc · 11%

Body

50% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 58%

By position

53% acc · 89%

Distance

38% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Hominick rounds

even

George Roop rounds

Round 1Mark Hominick edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns2

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 16

Sig Strikes

12 / 32

56%

Sig Str %

37%

9 / 16

Total Strikes

12 / 32

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	George Roop	12 / 32	12 / 32	0 / 1	0
1	Mark Hominick	9 / 16	9 / 16	0 / 0	0

Mark Hominick

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

George Roop

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10