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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Eddie Yagin won · S-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1490

Mark HominickvsEddie YaginUFC Prediction Result

UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · Saturday, April 21, 2012Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Eddie Yagin won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMark Hominick: Pressure fightervsEddie Yagin: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Mark Hominick wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Eddie Yagin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Hominick at -480 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mark Hominick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mark Hominick has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Hominick

Red Corner

Eddie Yagin

Blue Corner

-480

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+423

(19%)

1352

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

175 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark HominickL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs George Roop · Jan 11

vs Jose Aldo · Apr 11

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 11

vs Pablo Garza · Nov 12

latest

Eddie Yagin

oldest →

vs Junior Assuncao · Sep 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark HominickMetricEddie Yagin

4.08

Strikes / min

3.13

4.18

Strikes absorbed / min

5.77

69%

Strike defense

42%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

0.00

71%

Takedown defense

62%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap-2.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mark HominickEddie Yagin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Hominick(5 fights)Eddie Yagin(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.4|Blue +138.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark HominickTargetEddie Yagin

By target zone

51% acc · 87%

Head

27% acc · 82%

63% acc · 11%

Body

23% acc · 4%

67% acc · 2%

Leg

67% acc · 14%

By position

110

52% acc · 100%

Distance

28% acc · 87%

Clinch

Ground

44% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Hominick rounds

even

Eddie Yagin rounds

Round 1Eddie Yagin edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Eddie Yagin edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:54Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Mark Hominick edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

110 / 210

Sig Strikes

84 / 284

52.3%

Sig Str %

29%

116 / 217

Total Strikes

100 / 301

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eddie Yagin	29 / 97	40 / 109	0 / 0
1	Mark Hominick	26 / 51	27 / 52	0 / 0
2	Eddie Yagin	31 / 92	36 / 97	0 / 0
2	Mark Hominick	37 / 61	42 / 67	0 / 0
3	Eddie Yagin	24 / 95	24 / 95	0 / 0
3	Mark Hominick	47 / 98	47 / 98	0 / 0

Mark Hominick

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Eddie Yagin

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights2